Florida is facing its most intense drought in 15 years. This is how it got so bad and how long it will remaining.

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The Sundarban The Sundarban Aerial images of the parched Everglades in March 2026.

The most contemporary drought in Florida has parched even the Everglades (pictured from above) and nearby reserves.
(Image credit: Carl Juste/Miami Herald/Tribune Information Carrier by task of Getty Pictures)

Florida is experiencing its most intense drought in 15 years, with higher than 70% of the Sunshine Speak facing what the U.S. Drought Monitor calls “extreme” to “exceptional” drought conditions.

Northern Florida is suffering the driest conditions in the advise, and most contemporary rainfall has brought almost no aid, according to the most contemporary drought records. Forecasts show no rain and excessive temperatures over the following week, so the situation will likely win worse sooner than it gets higher, specialists advised Stay Science.

The Sundarban Map of the U.S. Southeast showing the severity of drought in different areas.

Bigger than 70% of Florida is facing “extreme” or “exceptional” drought conditions. In Georgia, which has also been gripped by drought, that determine is 69%. (Image credit: U.S. Drought Monitor/Brian Fuchs)Why is Florida in a drought?

Florida, along with Georgia and different ingredients of the U.S. Southeast, currently sits beneath a ridge of excessive atmospheric stress that has moved in and out of the gap since fall remaining one year however remained stationary since March. This potential the air above the Southeast is sinking and compressing, which reduces humidity and prevents cloud formation.

“Rain cannot form in sinking air so it just stays warm and dry,” Pam Knox, an agricultural climatologist at the University of Georgia and the director of the Georgia Climate Network, advised Stay Science in an e-mail.

Determined skies indulge in dominated for weeks over Florida and different ingredients of the Southeast. However it’s not appropriate excessive stress that is driving the most contemporary drought, because rainfall has been below moderate for months. Florida used to be unusually dry for powerful of remaining one year, and many areas indulge in obtained not up to 50% of their favorite rainfall since Sept. 1, 2025, according to the National Climate Carrier.

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“That means they are about 20 to 25 inches [50 to 65 centimeters] below what would be considered average rainfall,” Knox mentioned.

Months of dry weather were followed by a La Niña winter, which shifted the jet plug northward. This brought colder, wetter conditions to the northern U.S. and Canada, whereas the southern U.S. turned into warmer and drier.

“The combined effects of the lack of tropical storms last year with the La Nina over the winter, which is usually a time of warmer and drier climate than average, have helped lead to this current situation,” Knox mentioned.

Why is the most contemporary Florida drought so bad?

The most contemporary drought in Florida differs from previous bad droughts because it has hit in spring instead of summer. The remaining time the U.S. Drought Monitor recorded such exceptionally dry conditions in the Sunshine Speak used to be June 2011, however it has not been this dry so early in the one year since 2000, Knox mentioned.

While the La Niña, low precipitation, and fewer storms this season are attributable to pure variability, global warming and shifts in the water cycle induced by higher temperatures could perhaps perhaps perhaps also be contributing to the dryness, Knox mentioned.

The influence of climate change is hard to disentangle from pure variation without appropriate attribution be taught, Mullens agreed.

The Sundarban A timeseries showing the worst droughts in Florida since 2000.

The most contemporary drought in Florida is equal in intensity to a drought that gripped the advise in 2011 to 2012, specialists mentioned. Other extreme droughts were the 2000 to 2001 drought and the 2007 to 2008 drought. (Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory / Lauren Dauphin)How long will the Florida drought remaining?

Most up-to-date drought conditions in Florida will potentially worsen except the tip of April, however they are anticipated to pink meat up a bit of in Would perhaps also simply because the excessive-stress advise in the surroundings moves away from the Southeast.

“In the Southeast, the worst drought is in northern Florida and southern Georgia, however different areas are likely to win worse over the following couple of weeks with excessive temperatures and no rain in the forecast,” Knox mentioned. “We expect the weather pattern to change around the end of the month as the high pressure shrinks off to the east, which will allow cold fronts that could produce rain to enter the Southeast again.”

It’s unclear how conditions will evolve thru summer, however quite so much of moisture will be desired to quit the drought. Ideally, a tropical storm or a stationary front must bring satisfactory rain in the coming weeks to quench flowers and replenish soil moisture.

“It is difficult to get out of drought in summer because the plants and evaporation tend to use every bit of rain that falls,” Knox mentioned.

A staunch El Niño is on the horizon, which can perhaps perhaps perhaps also bring wetter weather this summer, Mullens mentioned. However a clear portray of this one year’s drought will emerge handiest once it’s over, when scientists will be in a position to extra accurately compare its size with droughts that struck Florida in 2000 and 2011.

What are the impacts?

Satellite records shows that shallow groundwater aquifers indulge in dried up all over the U.S. Southeast during this one year’s drought. That is because extra water has been extracted from these aquifers than approved to irrigate farmland and provide drinking water for fogeys below exceptionally dry conditions.

In Florida, aquifers are especially dry in the northern and central areas. Aquifers perform not instantly increase from drought, because rainfall first has to moist the complete soil column sooner than it can trickle the complete scheme down to replenish groundwater retail outlets.

“Aquifers are considered to be a lagging indicator of drought because they get worse after the drought is bad at the surface and it takes them longer to recover,” Knox mentioned.

The Sundarban Map showing groundwater wetness in the U.S. Southeast. More regions are red, meaning they have less water in shallow aquifers than they had on average between 1948 and 2010.

This device of the U.S. Southeast shows the quantity of groundwater in shallow aquifers now in comparison with the long-term moderate between 1948 and 2010.  » …
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